Cibola Water Monitoring Report – February 25 – March 3

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Diego Lopez, Editor

CIBOLA COUNTY, shows a sharp setback in mountain snowpack and continued slow decline at Bluewater Lake, while the Rio San Jose registered only a slight uptick. With the traditional snowpack peak typically arriving in early March, this week’s numbers show how narrow the window for meaningful spring recharge has become.

Bluewater Lake

Bluewater Lake measured 7,368.29 feet in elevation on March 2, down from 7,368.35 feet recorded Feb. 23.

The decline of roughly six-hundredths of a foot reflects ongoing winter drawdown with no measurable inflow response.

Rio San Jose The Rio San Jose at Acoma Pueblo measured 1.86 feet on March 2, a slight increase from 1.85 feet the previous week.

Though minimal, the change suggests marginal improvement in surface flow conditions. However, the river remains at a shallow winter base flow, and levels continue to reflect long-term drought impacts rather than sustained recharge.

Zuni Mountain Snowpack

The most notable development this week is in the Zuni/Bluewater River Basin snowpack.

Data from the NRCS SNOTEL site at Rice Park, elevation 8,480 feet, shows snow water equivalent at just 0.1 inches as of March 2. The median for this date is 5.4 inches, and the basin’s median peak is 6.0 inches, typically reached around March 4.

At 2 percent of normal, snowpack has effectively collapsed heading into what is historically the high point of the winter accumulation season.

This dramatic decline suggests either rapid meltoff, sublimation, wind redistribution, or a combination of factors that have significantly reduced available snow water in the basin. With snowpack now nearly absent, the likelihood of a strong spring runoff diminishes unless substantial late-season storms materialize.

Taken together, this week’s data presents a sobering outlook: Bluewater Lake continues to edge downward, the Rio San Jose remains near low winter levels, and snowpack – the primary source of seasonal recharge – is nearly depleted at a time when it would normally be at its peak.

Water monitoring will continue as Cibola County enters March, traditionally the final opportunity for significant winter accumulation. The coming weeks will determine whether late storms can alter the trajectory, or whether 2026 moves toward another constrained water year.

N.M. – As Cibola County moves into early March, the latest water data